Jake invoked Jim Mora to kick off his sectional overview. I cannot be as clever, but I can link to another embarrassing rant by a man who, at the time, coached Jake’s favorite team, the lowly Jets.
Remember Section 1 ballers, on the eve of these playoffs: YOU PLAY TO WIN THE GAME!
On to the overview…
Class AA
Best opening round game: No. 9 Suffern at No. 8 John Jay. It doesn’t matter who pitches for Suffern, this will be power vs. power. Robbie Aviles and Jim Brennan both bring it, but few teams hit homers like John Jay, which has four guys with multiple home runs. The combination of Suffern’s heat and John Jay’s powerful bats will make for an interesting matchup, particularly on John Jay’s tiny homefield. A lot of people have penciled Suffern into Monday’s quarterfinals for a rematch with mighty Mamaroneck, and don’t think the Indians haven’t noticed. Also keep in mind, Suffern won on John Jay’s homefield in last year’s semis behind a strong effort from Brennan.
Best storyline: Who will take down the champ? Last year several of Section 1’s best teams lined up and took their shot at Mamaroneck. This year won’t be any different. The Tigers have so much talent and so much experience, but with it comes an inordinate amount of pressure. Eight of their starters are seniors. From now on, every game they play could be their last together. Mamaroneck’s opponents will try to use that pressure to their advantage. They’d be crazy not to. The bottom line is, if anybody ends Mamaroneck’s reign, they instantly become the story of the playoffs. Just ask ‘07 Carmel.
Best potential later round game: No. 7 Carmel and/or No. 3 Ketcham at No. 2 Arlington. I’m going to let Jake have at the Suffern-Mamaroneck game. But another one (or two) to watch are the potential League 1-C rematches. I can’t even imagine how much Ketcham must want another chance at Arlington after it lost three straight one-run games in four days to the Admirals earlier this season. Same for Carmel, which lost two games to Arlington 9-8 in the span of 48 hours. What possible scenario could help an underdog get up for a game any more than these?
Prediction: No. 1 Mamaroneck over No. 3 Ketcham. Ketcham over Carmel in the semifinals. Mamaroneck over Fox Lane. The Tigers win a close, low-scoring game in the quarterfinals over Suffern. Carmel earns its revenge over Arlington, but can’t get past Ketcham. Mamaroneck then hits its way to another title.
Surprise: Saunders. The Blue Devils beat Yorktown, then push Fox Lane to the brink in the quarterfinals, proving themselves for real.
Class A
Best opening round game: No. 9 Pelham at No. 8 Pearl River. Both teams enter very hot. Pelham pushed Ardsley for the League 3-B title, and Pearl River rallied to win its final seven games after falling three below .500. Pelham cost itself homefield advantage in this matchup by losing its finale to New Rochelle, a game many of us expected the Pelicans to win. Still, Zack Baker has been $$$ lately, erasing memories of his slow start. But what makes this one intriguing isn’t the pitching matchup or the fact that the winner has the right to play Lakeland. What I find interesting is I’m not sure where these teams stand. Did either of them thrive because of easier competition? Or did one or both blossom into serious Class A contenders? We’ll know by Monday at the latest, but this should provide some indication one way or another.
Best storyline: Does Somers just have that “it” factor? Somers has won Class A twice in a row. It beat Sean Giblin in 2007 on a walkoff home run. It then shutout Pelham, with its assortment of college-bound baseball studs. How can you not expect a big postseason from the Tuskers at this point? They have earned that respect. I don’t know how they’ll do it, and I don’t know who they’ll pitch, but they won’t abdicate the throne easily.
Best potential later round game: No. 4 Ardsley at No. 1 Lakeland. You wanna talk about revenge? No one looking at these brackets thought about revenge quite like Lakeland, or so I imagine. Ardsley daggered Lakeland on Kioyta Gomi’s homer off the prodigious Brendan Hourihan, sending the top-seeded Hornets home in the quarterfinals. The teams would have to wait until the semis to meet this season, but it would determine a spot in the final.
Prediction: No. 2 Somers over No. 1 Lakeland. I toyed with taking Beacon into the final, but something about Somers’ resolve made me think otherwise. I expect the Tuskers to beat Beacon in the semis. I like Lakeland to earn its revenge and ride the Arena-de Marte combo into the final, but I believe Somers has a better lineup that can help it win the third straight game. I expect a great final.
Surprise: No. 14 Tappan Zee upsets No. 3 Hen Hud. The Dutchmen are vastly improved. They prove it against a Hen Hud team without all its weapons.
Class B
Best first round game: No. 5 Rye Neck at No. 4 Hastings. I don’t know if Ryan Pennell has faced a team this season as potentially formidable as Hastings, so that alone make this one intriguing. Pennell will be under pressure to perform in the playoff spotlight, but remember: he’s been there and won before. The rest of the team will need to score a few off Ryan Blicker to support its ace. Blicker will be out to prove he’s no slouch after a couple close losses earlier this season.
Best storyline: Albertus Magnus. The Falcons had a strong season under a new coach. Their start wasn’t a fluke, and they may have a chance to prove it against Dobbs Ferry lefty Zach Avalos in the quarterfinals. The best part of Magnus’ season has been its ability to compete with anyone. Does that make this team more dangerous than most No. 7 seeds? Absolutely. The Falcons aren’t in the playoffs to pat themselves on the back. They came to win. Ka-boom!
Best potential later round game: No. 3 Nanuet at No. 1 Kennedy. The one I’d most want to see is this final. Put Dan Diaz on the hill and let him fire away against Section 1’s highest-scoring offense. You’d have to figure any team that faces Kennedy is a huge underdog. That should remove all the pressure, giving a guy like Diaz all the chance to wing-it, even if it’s in relief.
Prediction: No. 1 Kennedy over No. 3 Nanuet. Problem is, I don’t think Kennedy can be stopped. Even when teams have quieted the Gaels’ attack, their pitchers, like Nick Modico, Rich Lennox and Tom Baroni, pitched like studs. I expect Kennedy to beat Rye Neck in the semis, and Nanuet to defeat Dobbs Ferry, which will win behind Avalos.
Surprise: No. 2 Dobbs Ferry. The Eagles will look like a formidable team in the opening round. They are better than last year, their first in Class B, because their pitching is often spectacular. I’m sure a lot of folks have them pegged as upset candidates.
Class C
Best first round game: No. 6 Valhalla at No. 3 North Salem. Sure, Valhalla wouldn’t have qualified in a normal Section 1 tournament, but the Vikes are hardly a pushover. They lost 6-5 to North Salem on May 11. Yeah, they lost by 10 earlier in the season, but which one will they remember? (Hint: the second one.) The game was actually a heartbreaker. Valhalla actually led 5-2 before surrendering four runs in the top of the seventh. Had it not been for the rally, we’d look at this one even more closely. As it is no one should sleep on it.
Best storyline: Tuckahoe, without its best player, will go all the way to Cold Spring on Saturday in search of a small measure of success to help stamp its season. The Tigers fell below .500 without Pat Siciliano. Where would they be with him? We can’t say. His loss really does reset their expectations. A win over Haldane on Saturday would be like a championship for them.
Best potential later round game: No. 3 North Salem at No. 1 Keio. Offense vs. pitching. That would be the matchup in this possible championship game. Keio is among the area’s stingiest clubs, but isn’t it always? And how many innings can Kenta Miyoshi throw next week? Will he be on the hill in the seventh still baffling hitters? Can Keio win three straight? North Salem, which beat the Unicorns earlier this year, probably have the best shot of stopping them.
Prediction: No. 1 Keio over No. 3 North Salem. The whole bracket goes chalk except for North Salem winning a close one over Blind Brook in the semis. That one could go either way. I can’t say the same about Class C, which is Keio’s to lose. The Unicorns have the experience and the tournament setup favors them.
Surprise: Haldane plays Keio tight. The Unicorns won’t pitch Miyoshi the entire semifinal, giving them a few heartaches against Haldane, which has had a very underrated season.